New CEO in Nordic Nanovector Peter L Braun on todays RADIUM podcast commented on patient recruitment numbers to the PARADIGME clinical trial in the light of continued Covid19 restrictions.
As a small experiment, I am putting out a poll to see which scenario investors think is most likely for when recruiting the 120 needed patients is done and the countdown to 100 days interim readouts for PARADIGME can be started:
A double whammy of FUD news about Bitcoin this week, with Janet Yellen highlighting that the anonymous aspect of some cryptocurrencies could be problematic, and then news picked up on a story about Bitmex reporting a possible Double Spend problem appearing in the Bitcoin Blockchain.
Luckily, the Bitcoin ecosystem has several great sources explaining in detail how this instance with one transaction appearing twice is actually expected behavior in the Bitcoin Blockhain.
You can sign up for TradingView for free by using my affiliate link, and if you in turn choose to upgrade to a payed tier, we can both receive up to $30 in discounts.
TLDR; On this page you will find a compiled list of key urls, charts and videos or podcasts about norwegian healthcare stocks! It is my hope it will be a useful gateway (drug) for investors new to this list.
Please note that this post was written at december 29th of 2020, and some facts may have changed since then, but the main themes should remain relevant for a long time.
The Oslo stock exchange has traditionally been extremely focused on Oil, Shipping, Fish and Industry, with healthcare stocks being an unpopular, undercovered and underpriced backwater, compared with other norwegian stocks, and especially with peer companies listed in Europe and the US.
This is starting to change with a concerted effort in the previous decade, with the Bayer acquisition of Algeta being the main success story, and a brief rally during 2016-2017 leading up to a three year bear market that ended in the fall of 2019. Key factor to this is in short: Maturing pipelines.
To help new investors get a quick glimpse into the sector I have compiled this list that will hopefully be of use. It is sorted descendingly by market cap as of december 28th 2020, with some updates added in early january 2021.
Norwegian Healthcare Index in a strong and sustained uptrend after a three-year bear market ended late 2019
Note that Vaccibody is listed on Euronext Growth market and as such is not included in the Oslo Stock Exchange Indices
Vaccibody $VACC – The shining star of Norwegian Biotech 2020
Market cap: 21,3 billion NOK (Note that extra digit!)
In october 2020, right before its listing on the Euronext Growth Market, Vaccibody announced the largest biotech deal in Norway ever signed, when it licensed one part of its platform to Genentech in a 700 million USD deal. https://occincubator.com/largest-biotech-agreement-ever-made-in-norway/
Medistim $MEDI – The high quality medtech powertrain
This year, Biotec Pharmacon divested assets that were not performing strongly in the market, and rebranded to focus fully on its Cod Enzyme branch. Legendary timing as this is a key ingredient for Pharma companies working with Covid 19.
BerGenBio $BGBIO- The AXL oncology company that had a Covid19 trick up its sleeve
BergenBio is a company based in Oxford, England and Bergen, Norway, and has been focused on AXL as a vector for treating cancers. The company shocked the market when it announced in march that UK would also be trialling its lead product Bemcentinib in its Covid 19 trials.
The company has seized on this opportunity by doing equity offerings that has secured its financial runway for a long time into the future.
Photocure $PHO – The Bladder Cancer (Blue light) Company
The University of Copenhagen recently explained it finds the preclinical minipig studies of the Softox Inhalation product as a potential game changing invention in fighting airways infections such as Covid 19
Reporting seasons on the stock market is now exciting to follow to see which public listed companies will report they have invested in Bitcoin for their Balance Sheet.
Gold and Silver in consolidation patterns after extremely strong price movements.
US Dollar trying to establish support for regaining uptrend
Goldbugs following the Dow to Gold ratio state that either Gold must still be very reasonably priced, or the US stock market is severely overpriced: https://www.longtermtrends.net/dow-gold-ratio/
This guide uses precommercial Biotech startups as its case, but the core concepts can be applied to all companies.
My first rule of investing is “Know what you own”, for me the bread and butter of portfolio management is following every quarterly report presentation and in many cases plotting the details into my own spreadsheets.
One big reason for this is to either try to locate any weaknesses that the companies are not too interested in exposing, or any strengths they are not selling as well as they could.
Lately, I find myself not using spreadsheets as much as I used to because of the Fundamental Analysis tools in TradingView, which lets me track key data from the company reports with the click of the ‘Financials’ button in the menu row:
You can sign up for TradingView for free by using my affiliate link, and if you in turn choose to upgrade to a payed tier, we can both receive up to $30 in discounts.
Biotech Risk no 2: Cash offerings that dilute the company stock
Few other sectors live by the rule “Cash is king” like biotech, even more so for the precommercial startup companies. Companies should always seek to raise cash whenever they can, rather than whenever they must, as this will like shield investors from painfull dilutions of the value of their holdings.
Targovax $TRVX:
Targovax stock looks set to test a breakout from its long downtrend, but as can be seen, cash reserves are now very low and financing must be resolved in the near future.
Nordic Nanovector $NANO
The Prügelknabe of norwegian biotech has been caught in a downward spiral for several years as the PARADIGME clinical trial drags on past its originally guided end date.
Note that TradingView per september 27th has not updated the financial indicator to reflect the recent private offering.
BerGenBio $BGBIO
BGBIO showcases that the fact that a cash offering is very recent does not exclude the possibility of a new one coming within a short timeframe.